Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 21st December)

Best Days: Tuesday morning, Friday

Recap

Tiny clean waves Saturday morning and near flat yesterday. Today onshores are in and the surf is tiny, with a kick in mid-period SW swell due through the day but only to 2ft or so max.

This week (Dec 21 - 25)

Any kick in swell this afternoon is due to ease from 1-2ft tomorrow morning with a light offshore wind ahead of afternoon sea breezes.

Wednesday is due to be tiny but great for beginners with a morning offshore.

Into the end of the week a very inconsistent but fun W/SW groundswell is due to fill in across the coast.

This is currently being generated by a vigorous and stationary polar low sitting south-west of WA with satellite observations picking up a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds in our far swell window.

The low will slowly weaken over the coming days, before projecting north-east towards the Bight, north of our swell window.

What we'll see from the current incarnation of the low is a very inconsistent W/SW groundswell possibly showing later Thursday but peaking Friday to an inconsistent 2ft on the sets across Clifton under hot and fresh to strong N'ly winds.

Come Saturday smaller 1-1.5ft+ leftovers are due with a short-lived morning offshore ahead of a strong S'ly change, persisting Sunday with a small weak S'ly windswell.

Into next week there's nothing too significant on the cards with small levels of background W/SW swell due from persistent but relatively weak and unfavourably aligned frontal activity to our west. More on this Wednesday though.