Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 16th September)

Best Days: Thursday, Friday morning, Saturday

Recap

Tiny waves yesterday but today a good new SW groundswell was filling in, coming in at 2-3ft this morning with more consistent 3-4ft sets due through the day, and Cape Sorell data supports this with a further climb from this morning. Winds have gone onshore though, creating average conditions.

This week and weekend (Sep 17 – 20)

This afternoon's kick in SW groundswell should persist through tomorrow, easing back from 3ft on the sets.

Later in the day our secondary pulse of swell is due, from a broad fetch of pre-frontal W/NW gales moving in the past few days and under us this evening.

This should keep 2-3ft waves hitting Clifton later tomorrow and early Friday, easing into the afternoon and further from 2ft Saturday morning.

Winds tomorrow will be offshore from the NW, tending W'ly through the day, with NW offshores Friday morning, ahead of S/SE sea breezes. Saturday should then be clean all day with a N/NW tending variable breeze. Sunday is expected to remain clean but with tiny 1ft+ waves leftover across Clifton.

Next week onwards (Sep 21 onwards)

Monday's W/SW groundswell has been unfortunately downgraded with the frontal system generating it due to fire up south-west of WA ,and now push north-east into the south of the state.

This isn't favourably aligned within our swell window at all with a very inconsistent and late pulse of W/SW swell Monday to 1-2ft due.

Luckily a secondary polar frontal system is forecast to fire up at polar latitudes over the weekend and project a better fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds through our swell window, generating a stronger SW groundswell pulse for Tuesday afternoon to 3ft+ across Clifton, easing from 3ft or so Wednesday.

Winds unfortunately look to be onshore as a surface trough slips in from the west Tuesday morning, with a possible variable breeze Wednesday morning, but we'll review this Friday.