Strong swell Wednesday, onshore S/SE swell later Friday

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 24th August)

Best Days: Wednesday, Thursday morning, later Friday protected spots

Recap

Tiny clean waves only surfable for beginners while Sunday saw a touch more size to 1-1.5ft but with onshore winds.

Today a slightly better 2ft of swell was seen across the coast with offshore winds offering fun waves for keen surfers.

This week and weekend (Aug 25 - 30)

Tomorrow will be tiny but remain clean with NW winds ahead of a shallow onshore change.

Wednesday's strong SW groundswell is still on track, with a vigorous polar frontal progression currently to our south-west aiming a fetch of severe-gale W/SW winds through our swell window.

This swell should peak Wednesday 3-4ft+ across Clifton before easing later in the day and steadying at 3ft through the day. This will be due to a reinforcing SW groundswell filling in through the day from a trailing fetch of gales behind the main swell producing front.

Friday morning will be smaller.

Now, winds Wednesday look great with N/NW tending variable breeze and then variable tending S'ly winds Thursday.

Into Friday we'll fall under the influence of a deep surface trough sitting off the Southern NSW coast, linking up with a polar front pushing up from the south.

This is forecast to direct a fetch of strong to gale-force S/SE winds into the south-east of the state on Friday kicking up a large afternoon kick in S/SE groundswell to the 4-5ft range at this stage.

Conditions will be poor though with a strengthening S/SE wind.

Into the weekend the swell will ease from 3-4ft out of the SE but with fresh SE winds.

Sunday will be no better with a junky mix of swells to 2ft with E/SE winds.

Longer term there's nothing significant at all, so make the most of Wednesday and Thursday's waves.

Comments

davo_91's picture
davo_91's picture
davo_91 Monday, 24 Aug 2015 at 7:20pm

Hi Craig. How big will ship pies be on the weekend?

caml's picture
caml's picture
caml Monday, 24 Aug 2015 at 11:15pm

Try the surf forecast button davo !

davo_91's picture
davo_91's picture
davo_91 Tuesday, 25 Aug 2015 at 8:22am

Cheers caml. Will do mate. Any chance you know what direction wind is offshore for ship pies?

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Tuesday, 25 Aug 2015 at 8:29am

Do you not have access to Google Maps?

davo_91's picture
davo_91's picture
davo_91 Tuesday, 25 Aug 2015 at 7:43pm

I'm on Google Maps now. How do I get it to show wind direction?

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Tuesday, 25 Aug 2015 at 7:47pm

Erm.... It doesn't have it.

So, look at the map, work out what wind direction you need, then look at our Shipsterns forecast page and see what it says.

davo_91's picture
davo_91's picture
davo_91 Tuesday, 25 Aug 2015 at 7:58pm

Thanks Ben. You're a champ. Can you email me the link to the forecast page when you get the chance?

davo_91's picture
davo_91's picture
davo_91 Tuesday, 25 Aug 2015 at 8:12pm

What time will THE BOMB come through on Satdy champ.

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben Tuesday, 25 Aug 2015 at 8:16pm

Ah, so you ARE taking the piss! Gave you the benefit of the doubt, but I fell for it.

Good work son.

davo_91's picture
davo_91's picture
davo_91 Tuesday, 25 Aug 2015 at 8:33pm

I was referring to the Bureau Of Meaterology Bureau forecast - when do you forecast it will come through for Satdy.

davo_91's picture
davo_91's picture
davo_91 Tuesday, 25 Aug 2015 at 9:28am

Yeah I have access. Doesn't everyone?