Southern Tasmania Forecast (issued Monday 13th October)

Best Days: Small window tomorrow morning, Wednesday morning, Friday morning, Saturday 

Recap

The weekend started tiny and clean, but into Sunday a new W/SW groundswell started to fill in, coming in at an inconsistent 2-3ft through the morning before kicking stronger into the afternoon. Conditions remained favourable all day with fresh and gusty N'ly winds ahead of a late shift to the NW.

This morning the swell has dropped back to the 3ft range with an early W'ly ahead of gusty S/SW change mid-morning, writing off the surf for the rest of the day.

This week (Oct 14 - 17)

Our current swell should continue to ease through tomorrow and conditions should be favourable early with a light W/NW'ly before reverting back to the S/SW. Size wise we should still see 2-3ft sets before easing back into the afternoon and further from 1-2ft Wednesday morning with NW winds ahead of SE sea breezes.

A good pulse of new SW groundswell is due on Thursday but unfortunately a trough moving through Wednesday evening looks to bring onshore winds along with it from the S/SW. There's an outside chance for an early W/NW'ly but this will only be at dawn. The swell is expected to be in the 2ft+ range before easing Friday from 2ft under a lighter more variable breeze.

This weekend onwards (Oct 18 onwards)

There's nothing major on the cards for the weekend, with a leftover 1-2ft of W/SW swell due Saturday morning but conditions will be good to look further afield with a fresh and gusty N'ly wind.

Come Sunday another onshore change will write-off any chance for a decent wave.

Longer term winds look dicey and with small pulses of groundswell energy as a series of blocking highs move in across South Australia and Victoria. More on this in Wednesday's update though.