Southern Tasmania Forecast (issued Monday15th September)

Best Days: Tuesday, possibly early Friday

Recap

Clifton saw fun clean 2ft waves across the coast Saturday with offshore winds, while Sunday was smaller and around 1-2ft before winds tended onshore during the morning.

Today a new mix of swells came in at 2ft under offshores, but a poor S/SE change has since moved through creating poor conditions.

This week (Sep 13 - 19)

Today's change was linked to a deepening mid-latitude low forming in the Southern Tasman Sea, and a fetch of S/SE winds were aimed in towards us, producing a new S/SE swell for tomorrow.

This should come in at peaky 2-3ft across Clifton early before easing through the afternoon under N/NW tending variable winds.

Come Wednesday the surf will be tiny and early W/NW winds will give way to a fresh S'ly change.

Another deepening mid-latitude low moving across us will be responsible for this change, producing a new S/SW windswell Thursday afternoon and Friday morning to 2-3ft. Conditions will be poor though with fresh S/SW winds on the former and SW winds on Friday. There's a slim chance for an early W'ly, but we'll review this Wednesday.

This weekend onwards (Sep 20 onwards)

The S/SW swell is expected to fade into the weekend as winds improve, and a new long-range but unfavourable W/SW groundswell is due to fill in and take its place Saturday afternoon before easing Sunday.

Only a slow 1-2ft is expected before backing off into the start of next week leaving tiny waves across Clifton.

Longer term we may see some better W/SW swell into the second half of next week, but more on this Wednesday.