TC Fili is expected to become slow moving as it becomes cradled by the peanut high, with a persistent fetch of E’ly winds supplying an extended run of swell from that direction
TC Fili is expected to track into the slot and stall- roughly equidistant between New Caledonia, the North Island and the East Coast of Australia. At some stage it will lose intensity and become extra-tropical but even as an ex TC the overall cradling fetch of E’ly winds is going to supply days of E’ly swell.
Conditions will slowly improve for the South Coast through the period but with small, inconsistent westerly swells.
The coming period will be tricky regarding local winds and swells more so into next week.
A fun S'ly swell is due through this week, with a reinforcing SE pulse into the end of the week opening up plenty of options.
A large cradling fetch of E to SE winds south of the cyclone is better aimed at sub-tropical areas but should still produce some swell for the East Coast of Tasmania early next week.
A depression just to the North-West of New Caledonia now has a high chance of forming a tropical cyclone (Fili) with this system expected to supply some pulses of swell from the NE to E quadrant as it tracks into the Coral Sea.
A depression just to the North-West of New Caledonia now has a high chance of forming a tropical cyclone (Fili) with this system expected to supply some pulses of swell from the NE to E quadrant as it tracks into the Coral Sea. A large cradling fetch of E to SE winds is also aimed at sub-tropical areas and should produce plenty of swell for the region this week.
Nothing overly large but fun swell pulses with varying and workable winds.
It's a classic "Summer" looking synoptic pattern and indicative of the La Nina pattern hanging on.
