Don’t expect much surf for the weekend, with cold and W’ly winds on offer and surf close to flat both days. A tiny wave Sat a’noon in the 1-1.5ft range may be surfable for chunky equipment.
The tropical low over the North Island has rotated out of the swell window, dissipating quickly as it did so. We’ve still got some fun, albeit downgraded, E’ly quadrant swell inbound from that source before a period of quiet surf becomes established over the weekend.
A new westerly swell is due to build through the end of the week, with fun waves Saturday.
Pristine days with light W’ly winds for the most part lay ahead. The tropical low over the North Island has rotated out of the swell window, dissipating quickly as it did so. We’ve still got some fun E’ly quadrant swell inbound from that source before a period of quiet surf becomes established over the weekend.
Improving conditions over the coming days as high pressure moves in along with a large, strong W/SW groundswell tomorrow.
Varying winds with increasing levels of swell over the coming days, best across both regions early next week.
Much better and more reliable levels of more consistent swell this weekend with favourable winds until Sunday afternoon.
We’ve got a nice chunky 1033 hPa High slow moving at very southerly latitude, roughly triangulated between Tasmania and the South Island. As well as a precursor SE fetch adjacent to the South Island it is now squeezing pressure gradients with a compact, but deep low, which is currently forming gale force fetches out of Cook Strait and just north of the North Island. The Cook Strait fetch will produce some fun waves for East Tasmania.
The fetch is located on the edge of the CQ swell window so is likely to produce some E/SE groundswell at spots open to swell through the Capricorn Channel and north of the Breaksea Spit.
As well as a precursor SE fetch adjacent to the South Island it is now squeezing pressure gradients with a compact, but deep low, which is currently forming gale force fetches out of Cook Strait and just north of the North Island. Compared to Fridays model runs the fetch now is a little more mobile, weaker and rotates faster out of the swell producing phase, which will see a bit of a downgrade. Still some good waves on offer though.
