Eastern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Fri March 22nd)

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Small S swell Sat with S winds shifting variable then NW
• Stronger pulse Sun with W’ly winds
• Stronger S pulses next week on Mon/Tues
• More S swell Wed
• Small S pulses continue into Thurs/Fri
• Easing surf into Easter as high pressure moves across the state

Recap

Surf has been tiny since the last f/cast notes with knee high (1ft or so) S swells at best under mostly W’ly winds, tending SW through the a’noon today as a front passes the state.

This weekend and next week (Mar 22 - 29)

No great change to the weekend forecast with a weak high in the Tasman, some zonal frontal activity below the state and a massive high pushing through the Bight. That front and the passage of a small trough brings a S-SE flow early tomorrow, tending to variable then NW breezes in the a’noon with a small S swell to 1-2ft in the water at S facing beaches.

S swells from frontal activity now look a notch more active next week as the W-E progression of the next high cell (and subsequently fronts) slows and allows more intrusion into the lower Tasman. We should see a small bump in size Sun a’noon up into the 2 ft range at S facing beaches as a first pulse makes landfall. Winds will resume from the W as ridging forms north of the Island.

Bigger by a notch Mon into the 3-4ft range at S facing beaches with continuing offshore winds.

That pulse should hold into Tues before easing during the day with W’ly winds.

The next front Wed brings the leading edge of the monster high into play so we’ll see winds shift to the S then S/SE with surf building to 2-3ft. Under current modelling we should see small S pulses in the 2-3ft range continue through Thurs and into Good Friday. SW-S winds Thurs should shift variable to NE on Fri as the large high drifts over the state.

Into the Easter weekend small swells look likely with the possibility of some NE windswell later on the Easter weekend as high pressure moves into the Tasman.

We’ll flag that for now and see how it looks when we come back on Mon.

Seeya then and have a great weekend!