Episodic south swell

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 4th December)

Best Days: South facing beaches tomorrow afternoon and Sunday morning, south swell magnets Tuesday afternoon, Wednesday morning, later next week

Recap

A fun pulse of S'ly swell was seen across the regional south magnets yesterday, though fading back in size today.

This weekend and next week (Dec 5 - 11)

Looking at the weekend ahead and the most surfable waves will likely be found tomorrow afternoon and Sunday morning.

We've got a building S'ly swell due into the afternoon, produced by a good polar fetch of strong to gale-force S/SW winds south of the state yesterday. This should build to 2-3ft across the south magnets into the afternoon while at the same time, strengthening N/NE winds look to kick up a late increase in windswell to 2ft.

With winds from the N/NW through the morning, strengthening from the N/NE into the afternoon, northern corners will be the pick.

Come Sunday a strong mid-latitude front will push across us, bringing a strong W'ly change but there'll likely be no N/NE windswell left, with the S'ly swell likely easing from 2ft+. Try south magnets again.

Sunday's front will be associated with a strong low moving in and across us, with the swell potential being from it's western and south-west flank once it pushes east Monday.

We'll see this occur Monday afternoon and evening with a good fetch of strong to gale-force S/sW winds projecting up past the south-east corner of the state, generating a fun S'ly swell Tuesday to 3ft+ or so into the afternoon. Winds are tricky but we'll likely see morning W'ly winds, becoming variable ahead of NE sea breezes.

Behind this though a stronger and broader polar frontal progression looks to generate some good S'ly groundswell for later in the week in that 3ft to possibly 4ft range. Local winds are a touch dicey with troughy weather on the way, but we'll have a closer look at this Monday.

Have a great weekend!