Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 2nd December)

Best Days: South magnets tomorrow, south magnets Saturday afternoon, next week

Recap

A good increase in N/NE windswell was seen across the region yesterday, improving across more open beaches into the afternoon. Today was clean but much, much smaller with the N/NE swell fading overnight.

This week and weekend (Dec 3 - 6)

A very strong and powerful low is currently moving through our swell window, under the state.

This low is very zonal, but broad and hard to ignore.

A fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds are being generated perpendicular to our southern swell window, but we should see good sets spreading radially up and into the coast through tomorrow.

Size wise, south magnets should see 3-4ft sets during the day (likely undersized at dawn). Winds are tricky but offshore W/NW in the morning with N/NE sea breezes temporarily popping up from St Helens, south down the coast, swinging back W/NW across all locations through the afternoon.

The swell will drop right back overnight Thursday with easing 1-2ft sets on the south swell magnets and fresh NW winds.

Into the weekend a small pulse of S'ly swell for Saturday afternoon is on track, but it looks a touch smaller than forecast on Monday. A polar fetch of S/SW gales on the backside of the low will generate inconsistent 2ft to possibly 3ft sets on the south magnets as winds strengthen from the N'th.

These strengthening N/NE winds will likely to move out of our swell window into the evening leaving fading 1-2ft sets max out of the N/NE Sunday morning, with the south swell also fading from 1-2ft.

Moving into next week and a mid-latitude low forming in the Bight will slow move in and drift south-east over the weekend. Once it moves across Tassie a fetch of S'ly winds may generate a fun S'ly swell early next week, but behind this an even better looking polar frontal progression looks to generate a moderate-large S'ly groundswell for late week. We'll have a closer look at this on Friday.