Average outlook until next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 20th November)

Best Days: No great days, northern corners tomorrow morning with a sneaky E/NE groundswell

Recap

Not the best weekend of surf with small levels of NE windswell with less than ideal winds. This morning the swell was back to a tiny 0.5-1ft.

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl.. which is convenient timing for a shameless plug, given the recent upwelling event (from persistent NE winds) that plunged local sea temps. Early Xmas present/new steamer perhaps? Clicky clicky for more.

This week and weekend (Nov 21 - 26)

As touched on last week, we're only expected to see small to tiny levels of NE windswell through this week, as a weak but persistent fetch of NE winds hang in our swell window.

No major strength is due off this fetch, with tiny 1ft+ waves due to persist across the coast from tomorrow through until Saturday, when a surface trough moves through, bringing a S/SE change.

A small and infrequent E/NE groundswell may be seen tomorrow though to 1-2ft, generated by a good fetch of E/SE gales off New Zealand's North Island Saturday. It wasn't ideally aimed at all and besides an early N/NW breeze, winds look onshore and from the N/NE.

The S/SE change into Saturday isn't expected to bring any swell with it, though moving into early next week, some better sized N/NE swell may be seen again on the coast. We'll have a closer look at this Wednesday though.

Comments

velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno's picture
velocityjohnno Wednesday, 22 Nov 2017 at 9:34am

If I'm reading that wind chart right, those winds are pointed approximately away from New Plymouth toward the Goldy - so they can create waves on the NE Tassie coast as well? That's almost a perpendicular vector from the wind direction. Wow.

The report seems to say the little waves did arrive Wed AM, so they refracted 90 degrees and became a NE swell on landfall?

Do swells do this? Wow again.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Wednesday, 22 Nov 2017 at 11:36am

Yeah, while the Gold Coast/North Coast will see the bulk of the energy, the swell spreads out like a fan, with smaller and smaller surf the further you head north/south. At some point it's not aimed in the swell window at all, but fetches off the NZ coast are usually good.