Great weekend, flat most of next week
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 30th August)
Best Days: Saturday, northern corners Sunday
Recap
Fun easing levels of S/SE swell from 2-3ft with morning offshores yesterday, while today our new E/SE swell was on the build with 2-3ft surf this morning. A futher increase to 3-4ft is expected this afternoon.
This weekend and next week (Sep 2 - 8)
Today's building E/SE swell has been generated by a broad and stationary Tasman Low sitting to our east, and while this system is now weakening, it produced its strongest pulse of swell for tomorrow morning.
We should continue to see 3-4ft sets hitting open beaches through all of tomorrow before easing off slowly Sunday from 2-3ft.
The N/NE windswell for Sunday is looking a little dicey with only a quick burst of strong N'ly winds due through our swell window Sunday morning.
This will result in a building N/NE windswell through the morning, peaking into the afternoon around 2-3ft across north facing beaches, fading rapidly overnight, with tiny to flat conditions Monday.
Winds tomorrow will favour northern corners with a persistent NW-N/NW breeze and then strong N'ly winds Sunday, giving into a W/NW change mid-late afternoon.
This change will be linked to a vigorous cold front pushing across the state, the first of a series of systems that will slam into the western and south coasts of the state through next week as a strong node of the Long Wave Trough stalls over us.
We're not due to see any decent swell until the node moves east through later next week, and what this will look like is still up in the air.
We're due for some sizey swell at some point, but it looks to be next weekend at this stage. Have a check back here Monday for the latest on this and in the meantime, have a great weekend!