Great E/SE swell for the coming days
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 23rd November)
Best Days: Protected southern corners tomorrow, open beaches Friday, south magnets Sunday and Monday
Recap
A small north-east swell yesterday but to no major size, while today the swell continued in tiny amounts across swell magnets.
The developing low off our coast is now expected to form 6 hours later and with that no increase in windswell is due into this afternoon, but the swell for the coming days looks better.
This week and weekend (Nov 24 - 27)
This evening a Tasman Low forming to our east will produce a fetch of E/SE gales in our eastern swell window through until tomorrow afternoon, when the majority of the winds around the low will swing S/SW.
This should produce a moderate sized E/SE groundswell for tomorrow, building through the day in size and strength, peaking later to 4-5ft across open beaches.
A peak is expected overnight, but Friday morning should continue to offer good easing 3-4ft sets, tiny into Saturday.
Conditions will be best in southern corners tomorrow with a fresh S/SW tending lighter SE breeze, while Friday will see offshore W/SW breezes all day.
Now, the S'ly swell for the weekend has changed a little in timing, size and scope.
It looks like the frontal system pushing across us will be a little more zonal now, with the strongest producing a fetch of SW gales right off our coast.
This will limit the size expected across south facing beaches, with Eagle Hawk Neck probably seeing no size, while further up the coast south magnets will hopefully offer 2-3ft sets with a W/NW breeze.
The swell should ease back through Monday from 2ft as offshore winds persist.
We may see a sneaky pulse of S/SE groundswell Monday afternoon/Tuesday morning from the base of the frontal progression but it looks to be a touch too east to be favourable. We'll review this Friday.
Longer term some more fun S'ly swell is on the cards mid-week, but more on this Friday.