Mix of swells to end the week, light winds each morning
Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Guy Dixon (issued Wednesday 2nd March)
Best Days: Thursday, Friday and Saturday mornings.
Recap:
A mix of northeast and southeast energy provided some good options in the 3-4ft range on Tuesday. Today, the size has backed off slightly, with options now in the 2-3ft range. A northwesterly airflow has been dominant each day, only giving way to north/northeasterly seabreezes periodically. For the most part, there have been plenty of decent options.
This week (Thursday 3rd - Friday 4th) and weekend (Saturday 5th - Sunday 6th):
As the weekend draws near, we can expect small options off a mix of multiple insignificant swell sources.
Firstly, a northeasterly windswell which peaked this morning generated by a fetch spanning Bass Strait to the NSW South Coast is due to gradually fade from the 2ft range across open beaches on Thursday.
Protected southern corners of the open beaches will be your best bet as a south/southeasterly breeze looks to be established by the morning, perhaps tending south/southwesterly first thing in the morning for selected coasts.
This fetch then looks to weaken, with the southern extension pushing offshore. Despite this, the northern extension of this fetch should persistent into next week, adding small amounts of energy into the mix.
Open beaches can expect to see this northeasterly energy ebb and pulse between 1ft+ on Friday and Saturday, fading from Sunday onwards.
A much more significant pulse looks to fill in on Friday as a result of east/southeasterly fetches circulating the backside of a low which developed within a strong frontal progression south of New Zealand earlier in the week.
Most beaches should see sets build to around 2-3ft range by the afternoon, fading from a similar size range on Saturday morning.
A light/variable-offshore airflow is on the cards for Friday morning, before increasing from the northeast. Saturday should see a similar setup early, although becoming southerly in the afternoon.
All swell sources should fade during Sunday with the excpetion of a hint of easterly trade-energy which should provide around 1-2ft to the open beaches. A light easterly breeze looks to dominate during the morning, although light enough not to cause any issues.
Next week (Monday 7th onward):
Frontal activity looks to increase next week, although the alignment of each fetch just looks to have too much west in it, leading to significant reduction of size across the east coast of Tasmania.
Otherwise, Wednesday is shaping up to see a peak in northeasterly windswell as a northerly fetch intensifies ahead of a mainland trough the days prior. More details on Friday.