A sub-tropical low which threatened SEQLD and NENSW over the weekend after it formed off the Capricorn coast is now steaming southwards at a fair clip, sliding along a high pressure ridge from a large (1035 hPa) high under Tasmania and dragging a strong fetch with it. The low is expected to merge with an inland low and horseshoe trough on the Gippsland Coast tomorrow forming a stalled low pressure gyre near Tasmania.
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/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2022/10/24/easing-swells
freeride76
Monday, 24 October 2022
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2022/10/21/dynamic-weekend
freeride76
Friday, 21 October 2022
Very dynamic weekend forecast ahead as a low pressure trough forms off the CQ coast today and forms a small surface low which drifts south to hug the coast over the weekend, accelerating away to the south through early next week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2022/10/19/e-swell-now
freeride76
Wednesday, 19 October 2022
The onshore flow is enhanced into a deeper tradewind flow up in the Coral Sea, which gets a boost from a trough of low pressure expected to form off the Central QLD Coast this weekend before drifting south as a surface low, bringing sizey swell from the East and dynamic weather.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2022/10/17/few-small-windows
freeride76
Monday, 17 October 2022
As mentioned last week we have a weak, troughy pattern in the Tasman with a broad area of high pressure now moving over the area and yet another complex low pressure system moving East across inland Australia. A series of fronts are rapidly transiting across the Lower Tasman with some small S swell pulses en route. A last pulse of E swell generated in the South Pacific is due this week.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2022/10/14/slow-fade-out
freeride76
Friday, 14 October 2022
Surf-wise we’ll be on the gradual downslope of our extended E/NE swell event. Plenty of size, albeit increasingly inconsistent to carry us over the weekend.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2022/10/12/slow-fade-out-e
freeride76
Wednesday, 12 October 2022
E’ly swell keeps chugging along this week. Despite some slow periods between pulses the ASCAT (satellite windspeed) passes shows a long, broad fetch of strong winds with gales embedded around a tropical depression. That leads to high confidence in continuing pulsey swell from that South Pacific source fetch.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2022/10/10/extended-e-swell
freeride76
Monday, 10 October 2022
Plenty of E swell ahead this week courtesy of persistent, long, broad fetch of Tradewinds in the South Pacific slot, which has had windspeeds boosted on the northern flank by a tropical depression drifting south from Fijian longitudes.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2022/10/07/very-active
freeride76
Friday, 7 October 2022
Mixed in with that will be 3ft E’ly swell, which marks the early stages of an extended swell event from the Coral Sea/South Pacific. A high pressure ridge should see mod/fresh S to SSE winds through the day, favouring the Points for clean conditions.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2022/10/05/very-un-spring
freeride76
Wednesday, 5 October 2022
Strong fronts have already transited the Tasman Sea with some long period S-SSE swell pulses incoming. Those pulses will be concurrent in a more dominant building E/NE-NE windswell episode, through the rest of the week and into the weekend. Lots of action next week as both our Eastern and near Southern swell windows fire up.
/reports/forecaster-notes/south-east-queensland-northern-new-south-wales/2022/10/03/couple-small
freeride76
Monday, 3 October 2022
A much stronger high is moving into the classic La Niña slot- SE of Tasmania- where it will start to be squeezed by another approaching inland trough and complex low pressure system. That will see increasing E- NE winds come into play from mid-week with increasing levels of NE-E/NE windswell, especially on the Mid North Coast. Frontal progressions passing well to the south no longer have a strong surge into the Tasman but will send mid/long period pulses of S-SSE swell our way from mid week while a strong developing trade-wind flow will keep swell chugging away from the E into next week. A very active outlook for October.
