The storm track will shift further to the east, allowing SW gales to exit eastern Bass Strait and this will set up a building short range southerly swell.
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Now that the weekend’s low has cleared our swell window, and the Tasman Sea is devoid is swell generating activity, we’re having to look further afield for swell prospects.
A Tasman Low is developing off the coast and will be a source of strong surf this weekend.
We have some new south swell building across the coast from a series of fronts that pushed underneath Tasmania over the last few days.
The trough block is slowly pushing eastwards under the influence of a regional frontal progression.
Look, I’m not one for hyperbole, but these trough blocks (that’s a new term I just made up) are fantastic for East Coast swell potential, especially Southern NSW.
The new S/SE groundswell will peak overnight and ease through Thursday. But jeez, the forecast swell window looks good...
We’ve still got a few more southerly swells on the way.
The parent polar low to this south swell will undergo reintensification south of New Zealand on Monday, generating a brief new long period S/SE groundswell.
Small waves for the rest of the week before some longer period S swell arrives for the weekend and start of next week.