The Stationary, Flat-Topped High
Why do Queensland and northern NSW get so much swell during summer? Why, even in the absence of any cyclones, does the stretch from Noosa to Yamba have extended periods of small but fun waves?
The answer to the above questions lie in the interaction between high pressure systems and the easterly trade wind belt.
As most of you will know, our weather systems move from west to east, yet from late Spring to early Autumn it is not uncommon for large high pressure systems to stall over the Tasman Sea. These 'stationary highs' can sit in the same place for up to a week and sometimes, when the pattern is very entrenched, one system can move on only to be quickly replaced by yet another stationary high.
Now, it isn't the whole weather sytem that interests us but only the northern half of it. Imagine, if you will, a high pressure system with its centre 500 kilometres off the coast of Sydney and the isobars rotating counter-clockwise around it. The typical summer pattern is for the high pressure system to take on a 'flat topped' look. That is, rather than rotating in a circle around the high pressure system, the pattern of isobars are flat along the top (or the northern-quadrant) of the system (see image 1). This is due to the high pressure system intersecting with the easterly trade wind belt.
Trade winds are semi-permanent winds that blow in the tropics between 15 and 25 degrees north and south of the equator. They are so-called because of the effect their discovery had on oceanic trading. The predictable nature of the trade winds (their location and their strength) created dependable trade routes. Sea merchants could reliably schedule trips if they utilised the trade winds.
Off the east coast of Australia there is a belt of trade winds that originate in the South Pacific and travel in an easterly direction toward the Australian continent. On their own the trades aren't able to kick up much of a swell - they are simply too light. However, when the trade winds combine with a stationary high pressure system the effect is exagerrated. The isobars bunch together creating a steeper pressure gradient that can remain in place for extended periods of time.
The result is stronger winds that blow in a straight line over a large stretch of water. And that creates swell...lots of it.
Fortunately for QLD and northern NSW surfers the place where high pressure systems intersect with the trade wind belt is directly offshore from their coast. Therefore the isobars are pointed directly toward them and, as long as the 'stationary, flat-topped high' remains in place, then they will get waves.
Comments
Nice work Stu. Its always good to have the mechanics of swell generation for somewhere else explained. The downside is that the "Stationary flat-topped high" has effects elsewhere. West Oz just loves a high parked off the East coast...gives us really nice swimming beaches (the effective word there being SWIMMING!) due to the corresponding high parked off the west coast. Your map also shows this perfectly. Now we know why it happens...can we change it....
And this whole effect is exacerbated more by a strong La Nina also!!!
There's nought that I can do to help Philthy. May as well huff and puff to blow that high away...
Has La Nina really taken hold Don? For all the surf it was supposed to deliver it's been a bit underwhelming up your way, hasn't it?
Stu, it's still November. A month at least away from the traditional summer surf season and we've already had non-stop E swell for 2 months.
This has been far from underwhelming.
And to be technically correct the sub-tropical high pressure belt is the tradewinds. They aren't two separate phenomena.
What we are seeing is that tradewind belt take up residence in the more local parts of the SEQLD/NENSW swell window.
And the reason the highs become flat-topped is because of the downwards pressure of the South Pacific Convergence Zone, which is ,in effect, an area of (relative) low pressure associated with the West Pacific Warm Pool. This warm pool is enhanced and increased in size during La Nina events, which tends to push the sub-tropical high pressure belt further south (into our swell window).
We saw that very markedly this year. In fact, by August there were unmistakeable signs the highs were sitting further south than normal Spring latitudes.
This La Nina has come on very strong, and very early.
It's staying power into the more traditional monsoon/TC season is now the big question.
Yeah, fairies nuts Steve. It's still November, perhaps I'm getting ahead of myself in terms of la Nina effects.
Can someone just be 'whelmed' then?
I agree with Steve. This has by far been one of the better Springs in SE Qld/Nth NSW in some time. Yeah sure we've copped onshore conditions, but at least they haven't been the dreaded devil winds, and they've created some damn fine surf. One just has to time the window of opportunity to nail the best conditions of combined local winds and swell.
Yeah, sure.
Whelm away.
And don't expect too much at those Manly beachbreaks.
Just had a quick surfcheck: local is a solid 3ft+(easterly tradewind swell).
Onshore but 2guys out and looking mighty whackable.
This time last year we had MONTHS of NE windslop which lasted till Mid Jan.
OK then Steve...
Whelm away, a-whelm away,
In the jungle the mighty jungle,
the lion sleeps tonight...