Early Forecast: WSL Finals

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)
Form Guide

WSL Finals
Trestles, California
September 6th - 14th (one day)

Trestles has an immense swell window swell. At its furthest extent it reaches below New Zealand, and it often receives swells with a ten-day travel time. The better swells originate deep in the South Pacific, which means that even though the start date for the WSL Finals is ten days away, we can get a pretty good idea of what surfers can expect.

The initial outlook is quite slow, with no major storm activity due to develop in the South Pacific over the coming week and a half.

The best swell producer is already starting to take shape, with a small low positioned east of New Zealand and south of Tahiti forecast to generate a small fetch of gales, followed by a secondary re-intensification, projecting favourably northwards towards California though with a bit less strength - see image below.

This should create a pulse of mid-period south-southwest swell that’s due to arrive on the first day of the waiting period, providing inconsistent head-high sets. The swell will ease into day two.

Following this, there's one further storm to keep an eye on, that being a strong polar low forming late and in the eastern periphery of Trestles' swell window. If it develops as per current forecast it'll provide a long-period and acutely south swell through the middle of the waiting period, peaking on the 9th.

At present this swell appears very slow - the swell hitting on Day One will be more favourable - but as always we'll keep an eye on it.

Current rankings leaders, John John, at left, and Caity Simmers

Trestles can also get close range swells from the hurricane belt that extends west of Mexico and Central America, however it's currently idle and is poised to remain so during the waiting period.

With a meagre outlook, organisers will be inclined to get things under way on the opening day of the waiting period, unless there’s a further upgrade in size of the swell due around the 9th.

Comments

Blingas's picture
Blingas's picture
Blingas Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 10:31am

Given its trestles does it ever get 6 - 8 ft overhead barrels and grinding walls. I have never surfer or seen it anywhere near full double overhead and firing.

Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 10:39am

Not sure if it really tubes,
Fun waves , very organized, super crowded, held down by a majority of the 70000 San Clemente residents.

Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean's picture
Lanky Dean Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 10:44am

First day of the waiting period... last year they didn't even have all the signs and banners fully up.
Some one bogged the grade all. Sand past the axels.

seal's picture
seal's picture
seal Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 10:45am

Probably best to run it on the first day, get it over and done with as quickly as possible, then maybe we can move back to a better format that the surfers and fans can actually appreciate ???

wavie's picture
wavie's picture
wavie Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 10:53am

i wish there was a way to go back to the old format but still keep the current finals day format for something else it makes for good viewing. maybe they could make a new triple crown where the top 5 battle it out over at the northshore

scrotina's picture
scrotina's picture
scrotina Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 10:56am

so the world champ will be decided in slow but fun head high walls. what a joke

Astroboomboy's picture
Astroboomboy's picture
Astroboomboy Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 11:58am

Spot on.

southernraw's picture
southernraw's picture
southernraw Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 12:01pm

Little Flippy will be seeeeeeething!!!

tubeshooter's picture
tubeshooter's picture
tubeshooter Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 4:28pm

If he is, then I'm sure moving the finals away from Trestles would be a big part of it.
He only had to make the top 5 this year and he still would've been a short priced favourite.

davidinindo's picture
davidinindo's picture
davidinindo Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 7:48pm

Filipe to get the wildcard!!!

scrotina's picture
scrotina's picture
scrotina Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 8:04pm

lol yes true. imagine

Solitude's picture
Solitude's picture
Solitude Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 11:45am

Yikes.

Nick Gee's picture
Nick Gee's picture
Nick Gee Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 12:12pm

Sept 6 in Cali is Sat morning in Oz? Poifek.

get this dirty Trestles finals business out of the way pronto and we can start looking forward to Hawaii and discussing Kelly's wildcards and parental responsibilities.

stunet's picture
stunet's picture
stunet Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 12:15pm

But with only five months till Pipeline how will we fit it all in?

Nick Gee's picture
Nick Gee's picture
Nick Gee Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 11:16pm

ha! yeah, that's too long.

Lost1's picture
Lost1's picture
Lost1 Thursday, 29 Aug 2024 at 5:33am

What responsibilities? Coaching?

blitz's picture
blitz's picture
blitz Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 1:37pm

Shit Craig - hope there not listening to Surflines official forecast - They got it horribly wrong in the olympics remember (luckily for them for the better I might add) as it fully pumped and they didn't see that coming at all!

what_up's picture
what_up's picture
what_up Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 1:56pm

This forey doesn't bode well.. Are you forecasting for the WSL for finals Craigos..??

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 1:58pm

Inconsistent and small favours Griff.

More tubes please's picture
More tubes please's picture
More tubes please Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 5:28pm

Italo

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 5:34pm

Yeah, maybe, depends on if judges pay the lefts.

Solitude's picture
Solitude's picture
Solitude Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 2:41pm

You can't feel too sorry for the Woz. By choosing Trestles they are on a hiding to nothing when it comes to the fans. Final day Cloudy might look pretty good compared with head high trestles.

Trentslatterphoto's picture
Trentslatterphoto's picture
Trentslatterphoto Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 3:48pm

Wild call but pondi would be better place to hold it than trestles, world class wave it's not and is a yesteryear fat hander at best. Oath gabby shits on griff btw lol, no YouTube linked added sorry

southernraw's picture
southernraw's picture
southernraw Wednesday, 28 Aug 2024 at 10:55pm

Shame it's not at Cloudbreak this year....looks like a decent large swell inbound there next week while Trestles dribbles on.

wavie's picture
wavie's picture
wavie Thursday, 29 Aug 2024 at 7:48am

Jjf $1.75

Griff $3.60

Jack Robo $9.50

Ethan Ewing $11

Italo $14

some interesting odds.

I like the Ethan and Griff odds especially.

NDC's picture
NDC's picture
NDC Thursday, 29 Aug 2024 at 4:58pm

Caity looks better than jff in those two photos
Diff wave obvio, but she's a stylish surfer for sure

Swany's picture
Swany's picture
Swany Friday, 30 Aug 2024 at 10:45am

Such a mental turn I agree. can’t wait to see how she goes with a few more years under her belt.

theolderIgetthebetterIwas's picture
theolderIgetthebetterIwas's picture
theolderIgetthe... Friday, 30 Aug 2024 at 8:44pm

It will be an asterix no world title year for John, if he doesn't win. Asterix due to trestles location...
Completely shit format and totally shit way to finish...
Isn't this meant to be a surfing world title situation?

shoredump's picture
shoredump's picture
shoredump Saturday, 31 Aug 2024 at 5:38pm

udo's picture
udo's picture
udo Sunday, 1 Sep 2024 at 8:45pm

?si=FH9f40LXKluY34RR

gromnuggets's picture
gromnuggets's picture
gromnuggets Monday, 2 Sep 2024 at 7:45am

Hey Craig, have you got any recommendations for reliable forecasters for California central coast? I’ll be living in SLO for a few months and don’t think I can bring myself to start using s***line

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Monday, 2 Sep 2024 at 3:08pm

Hmm, tricky one. Not sure unfortunately.

Moored's picture
Moored's picture
Moored Monday, 2 Sep 2024 at 2:35pm

Any updates Craig?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Monday, 2 Sep 2024 at 3:07pm

No changes to the outlook. Slow 2-3ft sets both opening and second day of the waiting period with nothing to follow up. They'll run one of these days.

Moored's picture
Moored's picture
Moored Monday, 2 Sep 2024 at 3:48pm

Thx mate

Bnkref's picture
Bnkref's picture
Bnkref Monday, 2 Sep 2024 at 4:36pm

Geez that's a grim forey, Craigos.

burleigh's picture
burleigh's picture
burleigh Monday, 2 Sep 2024 at 3:42pm

saw a few waves of JJF surfing at trestles this week in what i would imagine similar conditions, he didn't look great and never has in small weak waves. Italo for the win

adsi's picture
adsi's picture
adsi Monday, 2 Sep 2024 at 4:01pm

Surely you'd just call it what it is and say that the waves look crap, we're going to move the waiting period back 2 weeks hoping for something better.

Solitude's picture
Solitude's picture
Solitude Monday, 2 Sep 2024 at 4:41pm

Right, so looks like it could be east coast Oz 1am Sat morning kick off, if they run day 1?

nick_french's picture
nick_french's picture
nick_french Monday, 2 Sep 2024 at 5:23pm

Quick scan at the the Cloudbreak forecast for Sep 6th-14th and they would run finals day on day one, Sep 6th looks 6-8ft and SE trades. Same swell that is hitting Victoria at the moment #youcantscriptthis.