thermalben, 1518591794
Bloody hell, I tried to be more concise today too.
joesydney, 1518592181
Interesting - if it is not ultra consistent then it does open up a few more options over the weekend. The beachies may not be complete wash-out as I expected.
Chris Buykx, 1518593711
I love it when the word 'unprecedented' is dropped when discussing a major swell event! We may look at certain breaks differently by the end of next week!
Craig, 1518594733
Check out the wall cloud approaching with the southerly change..
Gyro3000, 1518595432
At the very least it’s gonna be something to see. I remember Midget speaking about the “once-a” swell before he passed away. This could be another. Good work Ben, looking forward to this event. Cheers!
billie, 1518596489
Such a great read. This website is an "unprecedented" bargain. Fair dinkum.
Thanks for the wonderful, scientific analysis.
groovie, 1518598154
WOW! Looking awesome Ben!
c-rven, 1518601414
Yewwwwww! I’m pumped, cheers Ben, great info.
Halfscousehalfcockneyfullaussie, 1518602413
10-12 ft on Monday... i think my dodgy hammy is playing up again
Cabo, 1518602968
Craig, What is this wall cloud phenomenon?? I must say it looks very similar to the “exhaust” I see coming out of a plane on a daily basis in the sky that eventually turns into a Grey shitty mess
What the hell are “wall clouds” this is an entirely new term for this old cat. And are wall clouds good for us surfers??
deckstrus, 1518604633
Has tue / wed just seen a very significant upgrade?!?
Tenn, 1518606237
Given the infrequency is it likely to see 10-12 ft or whatever sets and then seem almost flat until the next set arrives ?
joesydney, 1518608351
Yes, flat long enough to lull you into a false sense of security so you paddle out on your 6’0 before a 6 wave set unloads on you :-)
deckstrus, 1518608609
I'd say given the close proximity to the coast we won't see the big lulls you get in places like Indo during big swells. Those are generated thousands of kms away which means infrequency. I'd have thought because this one is going to be much closer by the time it gets up to that size there will be a lot more waves (compared to Indo as an example). Of course, am no expert, be interested to hear Ben's opinion... Or we can just wait till Monday and see for ourselves :)
Tenn, 1518612855
I'm curious to see whether the beaches would hold some shape too, I can either see pristine walls or complete carnage, some reefs are bound to go off for the guys with the clue in, interesting week ahead anyway
joesydney, 1518613644
My guess would be come Sunday arvo the beaches will be a wash out. After that in Sydney it will be the usual spots, Queenscliff Bombie, Clovelly Bombie, maybe off wedding cake, maybe Bare Island.
Hats off to all those with 8ft+ boards and massive gonads, I’ll be hooting from shore.
joesydney, 1518616655
I remember this swell very clearly, will be interesting to see how this one compares
http://www.surfline.com/surf-news/this-day-in-surfing-july-8th---eastern-australia-gets-the-swell-of-a-lifetime_45169/
bluediamond, 1518646507
Ahhh yes!! This was the swell i had in mind as maybe something comparable. Surfed along the central coast during those memorable 4 days. Thanks for the share JS
belly, 1518646742
The overnight model runs seem to have sped up the decay process.
Craig, 1518646920
It's just a cloud that forms sometimes at the head of a cold front with the interaction of warm and cold air.
Also plane contrails don't turn the sky into a shitty mess, it's just water vapour expelled from the jet engines.
Not good for surfers, but hang gliders 'surf' them in parts of the country, like up around northern Queensland..
[img]https://image.redbull.com/rbcom/010/2009-09-20/P-20130503-13437/0010/1/1500/1000/1/jonny-durand-rides-the-morning-glory.jpg[/img]
joesydney, 1518649537
Memorable because it was 2 days after South Sydney Rabbbitohs won their court case to be re-admitted to the competition and it was 2 days before I left the country for 3 months in Mexico.
Clovelly Bombie was pumping, it was a good sspectacle.
mg7, 1518657839
Looks like Friday and Saturday look decent for Manly picking up most of the E swell. Maybe if Sunday is over 6ft, Longy might go off and maybe the bombie - doesnt really pick up much of the E swell. Also the recent shories at curly might be insane but dangerous this weekend. They were barrelling on 4ft of swell let alone 6ft+!!!! STOKED!!!
geoffrey, 1518671344
was down the beach about 2 hours ago pushing the little fella onto some white wash, no sign of the new swell yet. fair bit of south swell though. wind was hideous.
Sheepdog, 1518671865
Yeah I surfed that swell.... A rare sunny coast reef.... Fantastic memories.
blindboy, 1518678382
BOM are calling it 1.5 - 2m over the weekend. Hmmm.
chook, 1518681895
I’m down past the ‘dulla. Lots of one foot wind blown junk with the north easterly. but found something. Think I might go buy a new leggie...
dr-surf, 1518685742
Byron Bay Thurs 8..00pm 1-2’
Craig, 1518737985
Good 3ft sets across the Northern Beaches..
[img]https://i.imgur.com/Rbm7IMs.jpg[/img]
batfink, 1518748558
Certainly agree with the 'unprecedented' description Craig. 25 years of looking at the weather closely and there has been nothing quite like it. Have a think about doing a 'hindcasting' report on this event to try and piece together the various elements.
I suspect as big as the black whatever a few years go, and a legendary east coast 'bomb' of many years ago that JoeSydney refers to (yes, I also watched on the clovelly bommie for a bit of that Joe, memorable)
But the context it so different, they were closer in meteorological freak events, this has been out there building for days and heading at us from a very long way away.
Much interest in what peak period we receive and the mix of period. Could be 2, 3 or 4 trains in the water at once, all from the same system. Hard to quantify in advance, other than BIG.
Some surfers, and a few foolish rock fisherman will be caught out by this I imagine. Lazy lulls in between monster sets.
thermalben, 1518749190
Solid sets now closing out across the Manly stretch (thanks MickFree for the pics!).
[img]https://imgur.com/Qly42Ro.jpg[/img]
[img]https://imgur.com/BRDyQUF.jpg[/img]
geoffrey, 1518757702
some proper indo style 10 wave sets this morning but there was about an hour or so between them. otherwise it was just the odd wave here and there. still pumping though. by all accounts there was alot of driving being done and not much surfing. luckily the spot we surfed was the first we checked. thoroughly sunburnt and feeling like a dried old sponge. yew.
chook, 1518783383
Conditions down here this morning sound like they’re similar to Sydney...3-4 foot.
mantown, 1518867039
This is the most over frothed surf forecast ever.....